SmartBettors

Super League

Basel

20

Full time

Lugano

Sunday, October 24, 2021 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.98

Implied 49.4%

Draw

3.42

Implied 28.1%

Away win

4.23

Implied 22.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.87

Implied 51.9%

Under 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBasel vs Lugano
LEAGUESwitzerland · Super League · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/22
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.85 (implied 0.524934)
Under 2.5: 2.03 (implied 0.475285)
Full-time result:
Basel: 1.87 (implied 0.523560)
Draw: 3.58 (implied 0.267165)
Lugano: 4.53 (implied 0.209380)

TEAM STRENGTH

Basel: 4/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: champion
Lugano: 12/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Basel last 5: 3W-2D-0L · trend D W W D W (oldest → newest)
Lugano last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D D W W L (oldest → newest)
Basel avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
Lugano avg goals scored last 10: 1.44
Basel avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Lugano avg goals conceded last 10: 1.22
Basel form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lugano form quality: high (overall sample 9)

GOAL PROFILE

Basel over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Lugano over 2.5 rate last 10: 33%
Basel BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Lugano BTTS rate last 10: 56%
Basel clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Lugano clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Basel home form: 3W-2D-0L · 3.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 100%
Lugano away form: 2W-0D-2L · 1.8 GF / 1.5 GA · O2.5 50% · BTTS 50%
Basel home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lugano away over 2.5 rate: 50%
Basel home BTTS rate: 100%
Lugano away BTTS rate: 50%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 0%
BTTS rate: 100%
Basel W-D-L vs Lugano: 0-1-0

MOTIVATION

Basel: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Basel: relegation danger (close to drop)
Basel: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Lugano: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available