SmartBettors

Super League

Basel

11

Full time

Luzern

Sunday, May 5, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.16

Implied 45.0%

Draw

3.64

Implied 26.2%

Away win

3.31

Implied 28.9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.84

Implied 52.7%

Under 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBasel vs Luzern
LEAGUESwitzerland · Super League · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/22
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.84 (implied 0.527148)
Under 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.473037)
Full-time result:
Basel: 2.12 (implied 0.458505)
Draw: 3.70 (implied 0.257202)
Luzern: 3.36 (implied 0.284252)

TEAM STRENGTH

Basel: 4/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: champion
Luzern: 9/12 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Basel last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L W W D (oldest → newest)
Luzern last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend D W D L D (oldest → newest)
Basel avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Luzern avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Basel avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Luzern avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Basel form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Luzern form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Basel over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Luzern over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Basel BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Luzern BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Basel clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1
Luzern clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Basel home form: 2W-2D-1L · 1.4 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Luzern away form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Basel home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Luzern away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Basel home BTTS rate: 80%
Luzern away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.250
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 38%
Basel W-D-L vs Luzern: 4-2-2

MOTIVATION

Basel: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Basel: relegation danger (close to drop)
Basel: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Luzern: currently in the relegation zone
Stakes: top vs bottom mismatch

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: yes
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available