SmartBettors

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

11

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

Tuesday, December 19, 2023 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.51

Implied 65.4%

Draw

4.84

Implied 19.5%

Away win

6.19

Implied 15.1%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHBorussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Borussia Dortmund: 1.50 (implied 0.657030)
Draw: 4.92 (implied 0.191828)
FSV Mainz 05: 6.19 (implied 0.151217)

TEAM STRENGTH

Borussia Dortmund: 2/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
FSV Mainz 05: 9/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Borussia Dortmund last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L W D L D (oldest → newest)
FSV Mainz 05 last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D D L D L (oldest → newest)
Borussia Dortmund avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Borussia Dortmund avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Borussia Dortmund form quality: high (overall sample 10)
FSV Mainz 05 form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Borussia Dortmund over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
FSV Mainz 05 over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Borussia Dortmund BTTS rate last 10: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate last 10: 40%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 1
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Borussia Dortmund home form: 3W-0D-2L · 2.2 GF / 2.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 60%
FSV Mainz 05 away form: 0W-5D-0L · 1.0 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Borussia Dortmund home over 2.5 rate: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Borussia Dortmund home BTTS rate: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 4 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 75%
BTTS rate: 75%
Borussia Dortmund W-D-L vs FSV Mainz 05: 3-1-0

MOTIVATION

Borussia Dortmund: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Borussia Dortmund: relegation danger (close to drop)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)
FSV Mainz 05: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available