SmartBettors

Allsvenskan

Malmö FF

23

Full time

Mjällby

Sunday, May 3, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.69

Implied 35.8%

Draw

3.29

Implied 29.0%

Away win

2.73

Implied 35.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.1%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 52.9%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMalmö FF vs Mjällby
LEAGUESweden · Allsvenskan · 2026 · mid season · matchday 11/30
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.90 (implied 0.507099)
Under 2.5: 1.95 (implied 0.492854)
Full-time result:
Malmö FF: 2.50 (implied 0.385505)
Draw: 3.48 (implied 0.273224)
Mjällby: 2.81 (implied 0.341297)

TEAM STRENGTH

Malmö FF: 9/16 · 16 pts · GD +1 · 13 pts off leader
Mjällby: 8/16 · 16 pts · GD +2 · 13 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Malmö FF last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend D W W L W (oldest → newest)
Mjällby last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W D W (oldest → newest)
Malmö FF avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Mjällby avg goals scored last 10: 1.70
Malmö FF avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Mjällby avg goals conceded last 10: 0.60
Malmö FF form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Mjällby form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Malmö FF over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Mjällby over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Malmö FF BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Mjällby BTTS rate last 10: 10%
Malmö FF clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Mjällby clean sheets last 10: 7 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Malmö FF home form: 3W-0D-2L · 2.2 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 100%
Mjällby away form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.6 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 0%
Malmö FF home over 2.5 rate: 100%
Mjällby away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Malmö FF home BTTS rate: 100%
Mjällby away BTTS rate: 0%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.375
Over 2.5 rate: 38%
BTTS rate: 63%
Malmö FF W-D-L vs Mjällby: 2-2-4

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.25 → 0 (Δ 0.25, toward Mjällby)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Mjällby
Line activity: 3 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.25 → 0 (toward Mjällby)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: mid season
Season certainty: 0.85 (mid season — solid baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)