SmartBettors

Premier League

Manchester City

21

Full time

Newcastle United

Saturday, February 21, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.48

Implied 66.4%

Draw

5.18

Implied 17.9%

Away win

5.90

Implied 15.7%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHManchester City vs Newcastle United
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Manchester City: 1.48 (implied 0.664011)
Draw: 5.18 (implied 0.179404)
Newcastle United: 5.90 (implied 0.156617)

TEAM STRENGTH

Manchester City: 4/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl
Newcastle United: 11/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Manchester City last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend D W W W W (oldest → newest)
Newcastle United last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend L L L W W (oldest → newest)
Manchester City avg goals scored last 10: 2.70
Newcastle United avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Manchester City avg goals conceded last 10: 0.80
Newcastle United avg goals conceded last 10: 2.10
Manchester City form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Newcastle United form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Manchester City over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Newcastle United over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Manchester City BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Newcastle United BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Manchester City clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1
Newcastle United clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Manchester City home form: 5W-0D-0L · 4.0 GF / 0.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Newcastle United away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.4 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Manchester City home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Newcastle United away over 2.5 rate: 80%
Manchester City home BTTS rate: 40%
Newcastle United away BTTS rate: 80%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.875
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 50%
Manchester City W-D-L vs Newcastle United: 5-1-2

MOTIVATION

Manchester City: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
Manchester City: relegation danger (close to drop)
Manchester City: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Manchester City: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Newcastle United: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available