SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Metz

04

Full time

Lorient

Sunday, May 10, 2026 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

3.06

Implied 31.8%

Draw

3.61

Implied 26.8%

Away win

2.36

Implied 41.5%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHMetz vs Lorient
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
Metz: 3.16 (implied 0.306748)
Draw: 3.70 (implied 0.260892)
Lorient: 2.26 (implied 0.432900)

TEAM STRENGTH

Metz: 18/18 · 17 pts · GD -44 · 59 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Lorient: 9/18 · 45 pts · GD -3 · 31 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Metz last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend D L L D L (oldest → newest)
Lorient last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend D L W L D (oldest → newest)
Metz avg goals scored last 10: 1.00
Lorient avg goals scored last 10: 1.50
Metz avg goals conceded last 10: 2.30
Lorient avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Metz form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Lorient form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Metz over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
Lorient over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Metz BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Lorient BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Metz clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 5
Lorient clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Metz home form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.0 GF / 2.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Lorient away form: 0W-3D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Metz home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Lorient away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Metz home BTTS rate: 60%
Lorient away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.200
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 80%
Metz W-D-L vs Lorient: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

Metz: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.25 → 0.25 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: flat — stable handicap line
Line activity: 0 changes · 24/24 snapshot hours

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.000)