SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Metz

34

Full time

Toulouse

Sunday, March 15, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Metz0
Draws0
Toulouse3
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.20

Implied 22.9%

Draw

3.47

Implied 27.8%

Away win

1.99

Implied 49.3%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.07

Implied 47.1%

Under 2.5

1.85

Implied 53.0%

Captured …

Predictions history

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Match briefing
MATCHMetz vs Toulouse
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.05 (implied 0.475285)
Under 2.5: 1.86 (implied 0.524934)
Full-time result:
Metz: 3.90 (implied 0.247463)
Draw: 3.56 (implied 0.271739)
Toulouse: 2.04 (implied 0.481232)

TEAM STRENGTH

Metz: 18/18 · 17 pts · GD -44 · 59 pts off leader · zone: relegation
Toulouse: 10/18 · 44 pts · GD +1 · 32 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Metz last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend D L L L L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse last 5: 0W-1D-4L · trend L L D L L (oldest → newest)
Metz avg goals scored last 10: 0.70
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Metz avg goals conceded last 10: 2.20
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Metz form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Metz over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Metz BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Metz clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 5
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Metz home form: 0W-1D-4L · 1.0 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Toulouse away form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.2 GF / 0.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Metz home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Metz home BTTS rate: 60%
Toulouse away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.667
Over 2.5 rate: 67%
BTTS rate: 0%
Metz W-D-L vs Toulouse: 0-0-3

MOTIVATION

Metz: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available