SmartBettors

Championship

Middlesbrough

10

Full time

Derby County

Saturday, March 1, 2025 - …
Head to head

Last 3 matches

Middlesbrough1
Draws1
Derby County1
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.69

Implied 57.9%

Draw

3.94

Implied 24.1%

Away win

5.20

Implied 18.1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.95

Implied 49.8%

Under 2.5

1.93

Implied 50.3%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMiddlesbrough vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/46
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.95 (implied 0.497760)
Under 2.5: 1.93 (implied 0.502513)
Full-time result:
Middlesbrough: 1.69 (implied 0.578369)
Draw: 3.94 (implied 0.240616)
Derby County: 5.18 (implied 0.181061)

TEAM STRENGTH

Middlesbrough: 5/24 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: promotion playoff
Derby County: 10/24 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Middlesbrough last 5: 1W-0D-4L · trend L L L L W (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 0W-2D-3L · trend L D D L L (oldest → newest)
Middlesbrough avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 0.30
Middlesbrough avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40
Middlesbrough form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Middlesbrough over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 20%
Middlesbrough BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Middlesbrough clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 2
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 7

VENUE PROFILE

Middlesbrough home form: 1W-1D-3L · 1.0 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 40%
Derby County away form: 0W-2D-3L · 0.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Middlesbrough home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Middlesbrough home BTTS rate: 40%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.000
Over 2.5 rate: 33%
BTTS rate: 33%
Middlesbrough W-D-L vs Derby County: 1-1-1

MOTIVATION

Middlesbrough: relegation danger (close to drop)
Middlesbrough: defending playoff spot
Derby County: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available