SmartBettors

Championship

Millwall

11

Full time

Derby County

Saturday, October 19, 2024 - …
Head to head

Last 2 matches

Millwall1
Draws1
Derby County0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.03

Implied 48.1%

Draw

3.36

Implied 28.6%

Away win

4.09

Implied 23.3%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHMillwall vs Derby County
LEAGUEEngland · Championship · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/46
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Full-time result:
Millwall: 2.03 (implied 0.480769)
Draw: 3.35 (implied 0.286369)
Derby County: 4.09 (implied 0.232937)

TEAM STRENGTH

Millwall: 18/24 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Derby County: 10/24 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

Millwall last 5: 1W-2D-2L · trend L D W L D (oldest → newest)
Derby County last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W L L L W (oldest → newest)
Millwall avg goals scored last 10: 1.10
Derby County avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Millwall avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Derby County avg goals conceded last 10: 0.90
Millwall form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Derby County form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Millwall over 2.5 rate last 10: 30%
Derby County over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Millwall BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Derby County BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Millwall clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 5
Derby County clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3

VENUE PROFILE

Millwall home form: 2W-0D-3L · 1.6 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Derby County away form: 0W-1D-4L · 0.6 GF / 1.8 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%
Millwall home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Derby County away over 2.5 rate: 40%
Millwall home BTTS rate: 40%
Derby County away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 2 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.500
Over 2.5 rate: 50%
BTTS rate: 100%
Millwall W-D-L vs Derby County: 1-1-0

MOTIVATION

Millwall: relegation danger (close to drop)
Derby County: relegation danger (close to drop)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available