SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille

31

Full time

Rennes

Sunday, May 17, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

Olympique Marseille4
Draws0
Rennes2
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.00

Implied 50%

Draw

4.09

Implied 24.45%

Away win

3.50

Implied 28.57%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.37

Implied 72.99%

Under 2.5

3.25

Implied 30.77%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHOlympique Marseille vs Rennes
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.38 (implied 72.46%)
Under 2.5: 3.20 (implied 31.25%)
Full-time result:
Olympique Marseille: 2.11 (implied 47.39%)
Draw: 4.06 (implied 24.63%)
Rennes: 3.24 (implied 30.86%)

TEAM STRENGTH

Olympique Marseille: 5/18 · 59 pts · GD +18 · 17 pts off leader · zone: uel
Rennes: 6/18 · 59 pts · GD +9 · 17 pts off leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Olympique Marseille last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W L D L W (oldest → newest)
Rennes last 5: 4W-0D-1L · trend W W W L W (oldest → newest)
Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 1.20
Rennes avg goals scored last 10: 2.10
Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
Rennes avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Rennes form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Rennes over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%
Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Rennes BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2
Rennes clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

Olympique Marseille home form: 3W-1D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 80%
Rennes away form: 4W-0D-1L · 3.2 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 100% · BTTS 40%
Olympique Marseille home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Rennes away over 2.5 rate: 100%
Olympique Marseille home BTTS rate: 80%
Rennes away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.375
Over 2.5 rate: 25%
BTTS rate: 38%
Olympique Marseille W-D-L vs Rennes: 4-1-3

MOTIVATION

Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+5 pts cushion)
Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+6 pts cushion)
Rennes: defending UEL spot (+5 pts cushion)
Rennes: defending UECL spot (+6 pts cushion)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: -0.5 → -0.25 (Δ 0.25, toward Rennes)
AH movement archetype: late_sharp_away — late sharp money toward Rennes
Line activity: 1 change · 25/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: -0.5 → -0.25 (toward Rennes)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.042)