SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

30

Full time

Metz

Sunday, October 1, 2023 -
Head to head

Recent matches

No prior finished matches between these teams before this kickoff.

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.05

Implied 48.1%

Draw

3.51

Implied 27.7%

Away win

4.01

Implied 24.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.01

Implied 48.4%

Under 2.5

1.89

Implied 51.6%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Metz
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.01 (implied 0.484496)
Under 2.5: 1.89 (implied 0.515996)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 2.05 (implied 0.479846)
Draw: 3.50 (implied 0.277624)
Metz: 3.99 (implied 0.242836)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 10/18 · 44 pts · GD +1 · 32 pts off leader
Metz: 18/18 · 17 pts · GD -44 · 59 pts off leader · zone: relegation

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 0W-3D-2L · trend D L D D L (oldest → newest)
Metz last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D W D W L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 0.90
Metz avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Metz avg goals conceded last 10: 1.90
Toulouse form quality: medium (overall sample 10)
Metz form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Metz over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 60%
Metz BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 4
Metz clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 2

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 0W-4D-1L · 0.8 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 20% · BTTS 60%
Metz away form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.0 GF / 2.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 40%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 20%
Metz away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 60%
Metz away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 0 (lookback 8 matches — no recent meetings)

MOTIVATION

Metz: currently in the relegation zone

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

No head-to-head data in our window
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5, Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: missing
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available