Toulouse vs Olympique Marseille | SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

Full time

Olympique Marseille

Sunday, April 21, 2024 - …Stadium de Toulouse

Team form

Toulouse

LLWDW

L5 Goals (F/A)

7 / 5

League position

10 / 18

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

1.42 / 1.39

Form quality

59%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: France | Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille

WWLLL

L5 Goals (F/A)

8 / 8

League position

5 / 18

Season AVG Goals (F/A)

1.85 / 1.32

Form quality

31%

Last 5 matches

Leagues used: France | Ligue 1

Head to head

Last 3 matches

Toulouse0

Draws1

Olympique Marseille2

Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market

Selection

Scanning

Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.62

Implied 37.3%

Draw

3.33

Implied 29.2%

Away win

2.90

Implied 33.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.04

Implied 47.8%

Under 2.5

1.87

Implied 52.3%

Captured …

Match briefing

MATCHToulouse vs Olympique Marseille

LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34

KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …

Over/Under 2.5:

Over 2.5: 2.04 (implied 0.477555)

Under 2.5: 1.87 (implied 0.522739)

Full-time result:

Toulouse: 2.57 (implied 0.379939)

Draw: 3.34 (implied 0.290444)

Olympique Marseille: 2.95 (implied 0.329924)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 10/18 · 44 pts · GD +1 · 32 pts off leader

Olympique Marseille: 5/18 · 59 pts · GD +18 · 17 pts off leader · zone: uel

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L L W D W (oldest → newest)

Olympique Marseille last 5: 2W-0D-3L · trend W W L L L (oldest → newest)

Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.80

Olympique Marseille avg goals scored last 10: 1.50

Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20

Olympique Marseille avg goals conceded last 10: 1.40

Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)

Olympique Marseille form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 80%

Olympique Marseille over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%

Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 70%

Olympique Marseille BTTS rate last 10: 50%

Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 2

Olympique Marseille clean sheets last 10: 1 · failed to score: 4

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.6 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%

Olympique Marseille away form: 1W-0D-4L · 1.2 GF / 1.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 40%

Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 80%

Olympique Marseille away over 2.5 rate: 40%

Toulouse home BTTS rate: 80%

Olympique Marseille away BTTS rate: 40%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 3 (lookback 8)

Avg goals per match: 4.000

Over 2.5 rate: 67%

BTTS rate: 67%

Toulouse W-D-L vs Olympique Marseille: 0-1-2

MOTIVATION

Olympique Marseille: defending UEL spot (+5 pts cushion)

Olympique Marseille: defending UECL spot (+6 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no

Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes

Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no

Play-off fixture: no

Top vs bottom mismatch: no

Both in European spots: no

Relegation six-pointer: no

Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)

Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round

Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)

Form coverage: home full · away full

H2H coverage: partial

Standings available: yes

Asian handicap snapshots: not available