SmartBettors

Ligue 1

Toulouse

11

Full time

Paris

Saturday, February 21, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last match

Toulouse1
Draws0
Paris0
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.92

Implied 51.0%

Draw

3.48

Implied 27.5%

Away win

4.42

Implied 21.5%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.13

Implied 44.2%

Under 2.5

1.71

Implied 55.8%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHToulouse vs Paris
LEAGUEFrance · Ligue 1 · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 34/34
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.13 (implied 0.441501)
Under 2.5: 1.71 (implied 0.558347)
Full-time result:
Toulouse: 1.92 (implied 0.509944)
Draw: 3.48 (implied 0.275179)
Paris: 4.42 (implied 0.214869)

TEAM STRENGTH

Toulouse: 10/18 · 44 pts · GD +1 · 32 pts off leader
Paris: 11/18 · 44 pts · GD -3 · 32 pts off leader

RECENT FORM

Toulouse last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend W W D L L (oldest → newest)
Paris last 5: 1W-3D-1L · trend W D D D L (oldest → newest)
Toulouse avg goals scored last 10: 1.40
Paris avg goals scored last 10: 0.80
Toulouse avg goals conceded last 10: 1.00
Paris avg goals conceded last 10: 1.80
Toulouse form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Paris form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

Toulouse over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Paris over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
Toulouse BTTS rate last 10: 30%
Paris BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Toulouse clean sheets last 10: 4 · failed to score: 4
Paris clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 5

VENUE PROFILE

Toulouse home form: 2W-1D-2L · 1.2 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
Paris away form: 1W-2D-2L · 1.0 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Toulouse home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Paris away over 2.5 rate: 60%
Toulouse home BTTS rate: 20%
Paris away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 1 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.000
Over 2.5 rate: 100%
BTTS rate: 0%
Toulouse W-D-L vs Paris: 1-0-0

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Limited head-to-head sample
Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: partial
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available