SmartBettors

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

30

Full time

Borussia Dortmund

Saturday, May 11, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

2.11

Implied 46.4%

Draw

3.97

Implied 24.3%

Away win

3.30

Implied 29.3%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHFSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund
LEAGUEGermany · Bundesliga · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/34
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Full-time result:
FSV Mainz 05: 2.20 (implied 0.445236)
Draw: 3.92 (implied 0.246124)
Borussia Dortmund: 3.14 (implied 0.309023)

TEAM STRENGTH

FSV Mainz 05: 9/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Borussia Dortmund: 2/18 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

FSV Mainz 05 last 5: 2W-3D-0L · trend W W D D D (oldest → newest)
Borussia Dortmund last 5: 2W-1D-2L · trend L W D L W (oldest → newest)
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals scored last 10: 1.60
Borussia Dortmund avg goals scored last 10: 2.00
FSV Mainz 05 avg goals conceded last 10: 1.50
Borussia Dortmund avg goals conceded last 10: 1.30
FSV Mainz 05 form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Borussia Dortmund form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

FSV Mainz 05 over 2.5 rate last 10: 40%
Borussia Dortmund over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Borussia Dortmund BTTS rate last 10: 70%
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 1
Borussia Dortmund clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 1

VENUE PROFILE

FSV Mainz 05 home form: 3W-2D-0L · 2.4 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 60%
Borussia Dortmund away form: 4W-0D-1L · 1.8 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
FSV Mainz 05 home over 2.5 rate: 40%
Borussia Dortmund away over 2.5 rate: 60%
FSV Mainz 05 home BTTS rate: 60%
Borussia Dortmund away BTTS rate: 60%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.800
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 80%
FSV Mainz 05 W-D-L vs Borussia Dortmund: 0-2-3

MOTIVATION

Borussia Dortmund: defending UCL qualification (score 0.850)
FSV Mainz 05: relegation danger (close to drop)
Borussia Dortmund: relegation danger (close to drop)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UCL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UEL spot (+0 pts cushion)
Borussia Dortmund: defending UECL spot (+0 pts cushion)

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): yes
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Full-time result

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available